Basketball-Statistics.com
My senior research and writing project at the College of Charleston is complete, and the result of it is my bachelor’s essay . I’ve titled it “Modeling Basketball’s Points per Possession With Application to Predicting the Outcome of College Basketball Games”, and the associated abstract for the paper is below:
In this paper we consider how to model basketball’s points per possession data, and we show that the flexibility provided by a multinomial logistic regression is required for modeling this type of data. We show how to apply this model to ranking college basketball teams, and a method for estimating team win probabilities with this model is provided. We show how to use these win probabilities to fill out an NCAA tournament bracket, and we compare the results of filling out tournament brackets with the multin
The paper can be downloaded at
Basketball-Statistics.com