amish.nyc - Just Getting Started | Speculation from a NYC venture capitalist

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There was a great discussion started by Mark Suster and Brad Feld around convertible notes and the many issues associated with a round in which they convert. This includes a hidden potential for a “multiple liquidation preference” if not adjusted for in the Series A and how the mechanics of the conversion could lead to differences in ownership than a new investor is expecting. Mark and Brad did a fantastic job walking through how the problem arises and the math that drives it.

I’d like to take a crack as to why, in theory, the treatment of the Notes in the pre-money valuation makes sense as the starting point. Of course everything can be a function of negotiation, as Brad points out, but it’s nice when positions have some grounding in principles, and I find many times entrepreneurs and investors can get frustrated by the advice “because that’s the way it is done”.

Let’s start with a discussion of valuation theory. In a perfect world, the value of a company is the sum of the FUTURE discounted cash flows that the business will generate over it’s life, discounted back to today. That discounted cash flow includes all expenses associated with operating the business in the future. The one assumption most Finance classes make is that the shareholding is FIXED for that analysis; however, in venture backed businesses, significant equity cost (dilution) is also required to bui