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Disclaimer: I’m not a doctor. I think it would be good if society accepted more risk from vaccines. I’d also like to see health authorities speak more honestly with the public.

With the FDA recommending a pause of J&J vaccinations, health authorities have been describing the risk of rare blood clots [1] as “less than one in a million.” So far, close to seven million J&J vaccines have been distributed in the U.S. with six cases of the rare clotting reported.

We shouldn’t conflate two things: